Saturday, November 5, 2011
Mark Hoffman's 2011 Breeder's Cup selections - day #2 "Championship day" (11/5)
Breeder's Cup Marathon
Cease (#9) - lightly raced gelding broken his maiden at Saratoga by daylight in the mud, followed that up with a sloppy track win there and just missed in a grade II test at Hawthorne Park, taking a shot with him since he can lay close to the pace.
Harrison's Cove (#7) - European invader from the O'Brien barn tries natural dirt for the first time, shows he can get the distance after winning his last start going a marathon distance in a field of 18.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Brigantin - Eldaafer - A.U. Miner
Breeder's Cup Juvenile Turf
Wrote (#5) - European invader finished 3rd last time out in grade II event with a bit of trouble, morning line price is right & breeding with connections has got it!
State of Play (#14) - perfect 2 for 2 in career at Saratoga , hasn't raced in two months and far outside post is a bit of concern.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Lucky Chappy - Finale - Animal Spirits
Breeder's Cup Sprint
Euroears (#1) - throw out Vosburgh effort after poor start and no factor in the race, had a monster work at Santa Anita last Sunday (57.4) best of 67 at 5 furlongs, alert start this time he'll be tough to beat!
Jackson Bend (#5) - shows up here after deciding to skip the Dirt Mile, chased Uncle Mo last time out in the Kelso going a mile at Belmont, I'm not sure turning back to six panels is his best distance.....but is in razor sharp form.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Big Drama - Amazombie - Aikenite
Breeder's Cup Turf Sprint
Caracortado (#13) - this west coast runner turns back to this five furlong sprint distance today after closing in route turf races, with a quick dash in this race......his closing kick from the outside may run them down late.
Broken Dreams (#3) - this 5 yr.old mare comes into this race off a victory going slightly longer on the Santa Anita downhill turf course, she has closing kick too & is a "live" longshot in this wide open event.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Regally Ready - Havelock - Hoofit
Breeder's Dirt Mile
Caleb's Posse (#8) - even 3rd last time out in the Indiana Derby stretching back out after two sprint victories, faces older horses for the first time, timid selection here.
Shackleford (#2) - finished in front of top pick in same race, also faces older for the first time and should set the perfect trip behind the speed, dangerous here.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Trappe Shot - Jersey Town - Tapizar
Breeder's Cup Turf
Sea Moon (#7) - this lightly raced 3 yr.old recently finished 3rd in a group I event with a troubled trip, relishes a distance of ground & should be tough with clean trip.
Await the Dawn (#6) - distant 3rd behind some of Europe 's best turf runners (Twice Over & Midday), won previous four starts before that effort.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Sarafina - Midday - St. Nicholas Abbey
Breeder's Cup Juvenile
Union Rags (#10) - monster effort winning the Champagne Stakes going one turn at Belmont Park, this undefeated son of Dixie Union has been spectacular in his last two starts and is my BEST BET on today's Breeder's Cup card.
Daddy Long Legs (#11) - this European runner has dirt breeding on both sides and opts this spot over the Juvenile Turf one, price in this spot much like the other European runners in the Juvenile races.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Alpha - Crusade - Speightscity
Breeder's Cup Mile
Goldikova (#1) - the darling of the Breeder's Cup mares, is three for three stateside with three Breeder's Cup Mile victories, this will be her final career start and should go out a winner!
Courageous Cat (#3) - just missed last time out in the Woodbine Mile caught at the wire, lightly raced this year, he's been pointed to this race and should be a square price.
Exotic and multi-race runners : Gio Ponti - Byword - Strong Suit
Breeder's Cup Classic
To Honor and Serve (#13) - well thought of as a two year old and early into his 3 yr.old season, he got hurt and missed the Triple Crown races, he returned to the races at Saratoga and needed his first start back and then won for fun next out, recently won the Pennsylvania Derby and draws the far outside post today, may get overlooked here & certain to be a price!
Havre de Grace (#10) - the darling "filly" of the Breeder's Cup tries to emulate what Zenyatta did two years ago and become the third straight filly & mare possibly to win Horse of the Year with a victory in the Classic today, she should be right there......but, I question whether she can get the mile and a quarter distance. I will be rooting for her though!
Exotic and multi-race runners : Uncle Mo - Stay Thirsty - Flat Out
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