Friday, June 5, 2009

Mark Hoffman’s 2009 graded Belmont Stakes selections

DUNKIRK (#2) Velazquez / Pletcher 4-1

The “forgotten” horse from five weeks ago, his trainer pointed for this classic right after his unlucky effort in the Kentucky Derby, a lot has been thought of this son of Unbridled’s Song out of a AP Indy mare since his two dynamite races at Gulfstream Park earlier this year, looking for a nice square price on this regally bred runner.

MINE THAT BIRD (#7) Borel / Woolley 2-1

The longshot Kentucky Derby winner and game Preakness runner-up made me a believer that he is no fluke as a top three year old runner this year, another jump and we’re talking a Triple Crown possibility, can see him winning today….it’s his price that I can’t take. Long way from 50-1 to favoritism.

MINER’S ESCAPE (#9) Lezcano / Zito 15-1

An improving and interesting longshot from the connections that shocked Big Brown last year, should be forwardly placed in the early running and has got the breeding to get this marathon distance, a “live” longshot worth a look.

CHARITABLE MAN (#6) Garcia / McLaughlin 3-1

Makes third start off the layoff and comes in here off a sharp victory in the Peter Pan Stakes which is the prep for this, has the style and breeding to win this…..but his price is too short for me in the top two spots and taking a stand against here.


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BRAVE VICTORY (#10) Maragh / Zito 15-1

I’ve had a soft spot for this horse ever since he debuted as a two year old last summer Saratoga, his breeding and form doesn’t shout out a mile & a half….but, Nick must have a reason to enter in this spot, worth a deuce especially if you’re from Fonda!

CHOCOLATE CANDY (#1) Gomez / Hollendorfer 10-1

This California based synthetic runner had a mild rally in the Kentucky Derby and pointed for this race since that effort, hard for me to give this type of runner a shot until I see him perform with a winning effort on “real” dirt….a reluctant “toss” here.

MR. HOT STUFF (#3) Prado/ Harty 15-1

This full brother to Colonel John has the look of a “plodder” at this point in his career, like Chocolate Candy….needs to prove he can handle dirt. Passes tired horses at best here.

SUMMER BIRD (#4) Desormeaux / Ice 10-1

Closed some ground in the Kentucky Derby but was non-threatening, another who pointed for this race, has a future…..but not today.

FLYING PRIVATE (#8) Leparoux / Lukas 12-1

Did better than I thought in the Preakness Stakes finishing a non-threatening 4th, has danced every dance so far….gotta give him credit for that!

LUV GOV (#5) Mena / Lukas 20-1

This guy is a plodder with no early foot, a ironic named colt for running in New York’s biggest race, would love to see the N.Y. papers headlines if this horse won!

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