Saturday, May 15, 2010

Mark Hoffman's 2010 graded Preakness Stakes selections


Lookin At Lucky (#7) Garcia / Baffert (3-1)

the "unlucky" son of Smart Strike has been beaten in his last two starts as the favorite, his trainer Bob Baffert switches pilots for today's race and gets a better set up than he did in the Kentucky Derby , does he have another bullet in the holster or is he just a trouble-prone horse? Gets ONE last shot for me today!

Super Saver (#8) Borel / Pletcher (5-2)

the hero of the Kentucky Derby splashed home and gave his jockey a third Derby victory in three of the past four years, could find himself inheriting the lead today, a lot of people at NYRA will be rooting this horse home and is the horse to beat.

Schoolyard Dreams (#2) Coa / Ryan (15-1)

this "new shooter" comes into the race from the connections who brought Musket Man last year to a 3rd place finishin this race, I like him in the Wood Memorial and he wasn't 100% for the race with a 4th place finish, two starts back - beat Super Saver for 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby, a solid price to use in the gimmicks.

Pleasant Prince (#3) Leparoux / Ward (20-1)

this closer didn't have enough earnings to make the Derby field, just missed versus Ice Box in the Florida Derby two starts back, I really can't see him winning.....but, will spice up the exotics for 3rd or 4th.

Paddy O'Prado (#10) Desormeaux / Romans (9-2)

I'm really torn on using this horse today at all in my exotic plays, just missed 2nd on a sloppy Churchill strip in only his second time on natural dirt surface, will have "underlay" odds today and be third choice at worst, reluctantly leaving him out of my plays mainly because of the fast dirt surface today.

Jackson Bend (#6) Smith / Zito (12-1)

no factor in the Derby on the sloppy track, had been consistent going into the Derby and may be tailing off from his early year form, does have a bullet work since his Derby effort.

Aikenite (#1) Castellano / Pletcher (20-1)

very well thought off as a two year old last season, skip the Derby pointing for this race, only shows the career maiden win at Saratoga last summer, third or fourth at best versus these.

Yawanna Twist (#5) Prado / Dutrow (30-1)

this lightly raced NY bred has been 2nd best in his two stake routes versus lesser company, a late addition to the field and could be a bigger player later on this summer.....then now.

Caracortado (#9) Atkinson / Machowsky (10-1)

this Calfornia bred was undefeated until he met tougher in his last two races, returns to "real" dirt for the first time since his maiden breaker at Fairplex in a sprint, prefer others here.

First Dude (#11) Dominguez / Romans (20-1)

even effort last time out in the Blue Grass Stakes on the polytrack at Keeneland, only shows maiden win.....lost the bob at Gulfstream Park behind last weekend Withers Stake winner; Fly Down, may flash speed from the outside post.

Dublin (#12) Gomez / Lukas (20-1)

disappointed in his fourth straight start as a three year old, something tells me that this runner prefers a mile or less race set up, adding Garrett Gomez in the irons does NOTHING to improve his chances today.

Northern Giant (#4) Thompson / Lukas (30-1)

the second of the two D.Wayne Lukas runners and really don't know why he's in this race.

No comments: