Friday, June 8, 2012

Mark Hoffman's 2012 Belmont Stakes selections




Street Life (#1) Lezcano / Brown (12-1)

It was a Sunday afternoon last winter, when I saw this son of Kentucky Derby winner; Street Sense break his maiden on the Aqueduct Inner-track closing from far back.... in his last start, he closed for 3rd with blinkers on in the Peter Pan Stakes a prep race for this event......today, he is a longshot that will have no problem getting this marathon distance.......the hometown boy from Mechanicville NY (Chad Brown) upsets today, at a price!

Union Rags (#3) Velazquez / Matz (6-1)

The colt I was touting all last year and leading up to this year's Kentucky Derby......lost all chance at the start and today gets a key jockey switch......would be no surprise to see a improvement today by skipping the Preakness & returning back where he had his best winning effort to date.

Paynter (#9) Smith / Baffert (8-1)

Considered by his trainer, as equal or even better than Bodemeister.......he could be the "main" speed to run down in this race.......gets the route "acid" test today.

Dullahan (#5) Castellano / Romans (5-1)

was a fast closing 3rd in the Kentucky Derby.......skipped the Preakness & pointed to this race......had a quick workout over the Belmont strip for today.......but, STILL winless on "real" dirt........ I'll pass at a short price in the win spot, but may figure in the exotics.

Unstoppable U (#2) Alvarado / Romans (30-1)

makes 3rd career start today and 1st stakes appearance.......the other speed in the race and may be a "rabbit" for his stablemate; Dullahan........may make history as the first horse winning a grade I race in his 1st turn two attempt.

Optimizer (#10) Nakatani / Lukas (20-1)

The ONLY horse to race in all three Triple Crown races...... has yet to win since his debut at Saratoga on the weeds.......worth a throw in for third or fourth in the exotics, at best.

My Adonis (#12) Dominguez / Breen (20-1)

Late entry to the race, from the connections who won this race last year with Ruler On Ice........ failed as the odds-on favorite in a five horse field at Pimlico on Derby day.......could add pace, to the race????

Atigun (#4) Leparoux / McPeek (30-1)

Won an optional claimer at Churchill Downs in the mud on Derby day..........no factor in three stakes appearances.

Five Sixteen (#7) Napravnik / Schettino (50-1)

broke maiden two starts back.......third behind Street Life two starts back.......NEVER under 5-1 in six lifetime starts.

GuyanaStar Dweej (#8) Desormeaux / Shivmangal (50-1)

broke maiden two starts back........distant 2nd behind Unstoppable U last time out in a five horse field........once ran for a 35k maiden tag.

Ravelo's Boy (#6) Solis / Azpurua (50-1)

much like the six above listed runners, hopelessly over-matched in this Belmont Stakes........ the Belmont Stakes NOW becomes a four horse superfecta "box" of 1/3/5/9

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