Friday, November 28, 2014

The last BIG race day in New York for 2014

We wrap up my weekly column for 2014 with the last major race card in New York and the NYRA circuit with their annual Fall Fest weekend including Cigar Mile Day, the last grade I stake until spring of next year. With six stakes races in three days, we see talented two year old runners and some of the best older handicap horses going a flat mile at Aqueduct. After this weekend, everything on the NYRA circuit goes into hibernation mode somewhat for the next four months. We'll try to give out some winners before we also go into sleep mode until we're back in March with the march toward the 2015 Triple Crown trail.

First up in the 4th race at the Big A (post 1:24) three year old fillies are going a two turn, mile and an eighth in the grade III ~ Comely Stakes. Nine go to the post in a evenly matched field with only one grade stake winner in the bunch and a three prong Godolphin blue entry which even isn't the morning line favorite. That goes to the undefeated Todd Pletcher runner and only graded winner here; Dame Dorothy (#3). She has been lightly raced this year with gaps between all her starts. I'll select her second and go with the NY bred who solidly won a statebred restricted race last start by over five lengths; Princess Violet (#5). She's only had one bad start this year and this distance suits her well. The best I can place the Godolphin entry (#1) is third because I'm not sure which of the three will race or possibly all three. The selections for the Comely (4th) : 5-3-1.

The duo of two year old stakes start with the 8th race (3:19) ~ the Demoiselle Stakes also at the mile and an eighth distance. A field of eight are assembled with two graded stakes winners in another wide open betting event. Here Godolphin has just one entry and she has been a bit of a wise guy horse in her first three starts and my top selection here. Gap Year (#5) just broke her maiden last start at Keeneland, but showed enough in her first two starts (including a stake) to be the wagering favorite. Today she's at the juicy morning line odds of 4-1 and may get overlooked. For second, I'll go with the NY bred who also won a restricted stake on New York Showcase Day back in October at Belmont Park. Quezon (#3) is undefeated in her short career winning both her starts by a combined 16 lengths. She also gets first time lasix today. Using underneath my top two picks are : Condo Commando (#6) & Jacaranda (#8) for a 5-3-7-8 selections.

The boys are next in a very wide open edition of the Remsen Stakes (9th ~ 3:48) also at a mile and an eighth. In recent years, this race has had short fields with standout favorites. Not the case this year with 14 horses entered including two coupled entries. Keeping with the NY bred flavor among my picks, my top selection here is another winner from NY Showcase Day; Ostrolenka (#11). After being a non factor in the slop in his debut, he's reeled off two straight victories going a flat mile. He's listed at 4-1 on the morning line, but being trained by Todd Pletcher he'll be a shorter price. For my second pick, I'll go with the far outside runner next to him, Frosted (#12). He comes off a solid maiden breaker going a mile and gets lasix first time for his Godolphin connections. With these two, I'll be using underneath them : the Casse entry (#1) and Chad Brown entry (#2) for a 11-12-2-1 selections.

The final grade I in New York for 2014 is the Cigar Mile (10th ~ 4:17) with nine runners entered including several exiting Breeder's Cup races and one runner making his final career start. California shipper from Bob Baffert is my top selection; Secret Circle (#6) is making his third start off a layoff and stretches out to a mile today. He had success as a three year old up to this distance and Baffert wouldn't have shipped here if he didn't think the horse had a decent chance. Itsmyluckyday (#2) makes his final career start today and tries to rebound off a bad effort in the Kelso Stakes on Super Saturday at Belmont in October. It would be nice if he goes out a winner, we will see! Underneath these two classy horses I'll be using : Private Zone (#1) & Transparent (#5) for a 6-2-1-5 selections. That's a wrap for 2014, see you in the spring Racing fans!

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