Friday, May 15, 2015

Mark Hoffman's 2015 graded Preakness selections



Dortmund (#2) Garcia / Baffert (7-2)

the formerly undefeated son of Big Brown tasted defeat for the first time tiring in the stretch after being on the engine from the start in the Kentucky Derby, expect him again to be on the lead and fight it out tooth and nail as they head for home, I STILL believe this colt is better than his stablemate.

American Pharoah (#1) Espinoza / Baffert (4-5)

proved best in the Run for the Roses as many expected, now comes to Baltimore as the odds-on favorite and the "horse to beat", draws the inside and really had the perfect trip in the Derby, would be surprised if he didn't fire...... but not if his stablemate turns the tables today.

Danzig Moon (#4) Leparoux / Casse (15-1)

had an even trip for 5th in the Derby at 22-1, this Canadian bred wheels back for our second leg Triple Crown with even bigger sights on the Queen's Plate at Woodbine; their Kentucky Derby, can't see him winning but can get a piece at a price.

Firing Line (#8) Stevens / Callaghan (4-1)

gutsy runner up in the Derby with a garden trip stalking the speed sitting second, draws the better post here than the Baffert duo, my main concern is how tired he was getting late in the race and leaning on the eventual Derby winner, he's my play against in this spot and think he'll regress with the quick two week turn around.

Bohisattva (#6) McCarthy / Corrales (20-1)

nearly went wire to wire in the Federico Tesio Stakes here at Pimlico in the prep for this race, in his only graded stakes try was 115-1 and no factor, it would be very enlightening if this colt won today and would take the Old Hilltop crowd "by the hand".

Divining Rod (#7) Castellano / Delacour (12-1)

nice victory in last start at Keeneland in the grade III ~ Lexington Stakes, skipped the Derby for this spot, marks the first time for Lael Stables returning to the Preakness since their proudest runner; Barbaro broke down in the 2006 running.

Tale of Verve (#5) Rosario / Stewart (30-1)

broke maiden in last starting going this same distance, that was in his sixth try, steps way up today.

Mr. Z (#3) Nakatani / Lukas (20-1)
what would a Triple Crown race be without a hopelessly over matched D.Wayne Lukas runner, privately purchased on Wednesday by the "new" Calumet Farm for this race.

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