Saturday, October 3, 2015

SUPER SATURDAY II @ Belmont Park ~ superfectas / pick 4 / pick 6 plays


Today is round #2 of Belmont Park's Super Saturday Stakes action with prep races for the Breeder's Cup at Keeneland on October 30th and 31st. There are six stakes races today that encompass races five through ten. The Saturday pick six at Belmont, starts in the sixth and guaranteed pick four in the 7th race. With the success in two of my five superfecta box plays from Super Saturday I (Turf Classic Day) and three out of four in my stakes pick four play, we'll use the same format on the five stakes today with another pick four play and pick six play.

The Kelso Handicap (5th) starts things off for older males going a mile on dirt. The 3/5 favorite is my old friend; Honor Code (#2) who has become the top older male handicap older with his big effort in the Whitney Handicap. While he is turning back in distance, today in this race is a better spot that in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at a longer distance later on in the card. Hopefully, there will be enough speed leading the way for his late closing kick. My superfecta box play is : 2 with 4/5/6.

It's a battle of stateside versus European runners in the Flower Bowl Handicap (6th) for older filly & mares going a route distance on the turf. The North American runners have taken turns beating each other, so I'll go with the European class runner; Curvy (#8) who has four victories in nine career starts. This three year old faces older America foes for the first time and is a new face among distaff turf runners. She is my top pick and I'll use with her; 8 with 1/5/7.

The first of two races for two year olds is the Frizette Stakes (7th) with an evenly matched field of seven fillies. I'm taking a page from the last race and going with a European runner from a trainer who has done well in the past with first time stateside runners. Nemoralia (#3) is trained by Jeremy Noseda, whose claim to fame was with Wilko, who won at 28-1 over Afleet Alex in the 2004 edition of the Breeder's Cup Juvenile. This horse makes in dirt debut after wins on turf and polytrack across the pond. My superfecta box play is : 3 with 1/2/7.

The boys are up next in the Champagne Stakes (8th) with another evenly matched field. Going with a price here and my man Shug McGaughey who saddles, Sail Ahoy (#4) at 12-1 morning line odds. This regally bred Phipps runner has a victory at this mile distance over the Belmont strip (only one of two with a victory longer than a sprint). With this black & pink runner, I'll be using : 4 and 1/2/5.

Much like last weekend's three year old filly race on the weeds, the Hill Prince Stakes (9th) for the boys is wide open! The Japanese bred from the connections who campaigned Main Sequence to top turf eclipse honors is my top selection; Tale of Life (#11). In his stateside debut, he was victorious at Saratoga and steps up to stakes action today. With him, I'll use : 11 and 4/6/10.

The Jockey Club Gold Cup (10th) is a short, select field that is minus the two best older males on the east coast (Liam's Map & Honor Code) with that said, it's Tonalist (#6) race to lose. I can't go pass him and the superfecta play in this short field is: 6 with 1/3/4.

The all-stakes pick four wager today starts in the (7th) race and is : 1/2/3 (7th) with 4/5 (8th) with 11 (9th) and 6 (10th) = $3.00 for a fifty cent play. The pick six play starting in the (6th) is : 8 with 1/2/3 with 4 with 11 with 6 and ends in the (11th) with Life Imitates Life (#7) = $6.00 pick six wager.









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