Saturday, November 7, 2015

The perfect Hollywood script ........ and can't make this stuff up!

Some may call it a "fairytale ending", a glimpse of greatness we have not seen in decades. A thoroughbred who captured the minds and hearts of the American public. One horse who accomplished something no other has done since the heyday of the sport over 35+ years ago. Yes, it's been that type of season for one, American Pharoah. And the masses have been pumped up!

I cannot added much more than what this horse has done the past six months. Revitalizing horse racing to new levels. Other than his little "hiccup" in the Travers at Saratoga, he did everything right. All the people around him, also did everything right with campaign of this animal. But most of all, the racing gods were on this horse's side in two of his "life alternating" races that changed the face of the sport. Those were the Belmont Stakes and Breeder's Cup Classic. There is no doubt in my mind that, these two races had a perfect scripted Hollywood ending.

You can't deny what this horse has done on the track, his efforts and results speak for them self. But, you also can't deny that American Pharoah had it his own way not once, but twice in the two biggest races of his career. He worked hard to earn his Kentucky Derby win, he relished the "off going" in the Preakness Stakes and was victorious. But in the Travers Stakes, he was pushed and came up short. The key word here is; "pushed", made to work in his effort that day. But, when it came to completing his Triple Crown bid in the Belmont Stakes, everything went his way. Once again this past Saturday afternoon in the Breeder's Cup Classic, it was " Deja Vu all over again!"

If a horse with the talent of American Pharoah is allowed to set his own race fractions and not be pushed by other runners, 99% of the time that horse will win! There is no denying that in the Belmont Stakes, he had everything his way going the marathon distance of a mile and a half. No other three year old male has been in the same class as he this year. In the Travers though, Frosted made him work just a wee bit and the results showed it was just enough for him to be defeated.

But, in the Breeder's Cup Classic it wasn't going to happen again. The whole completion of the race, set up for him to show his greatness. Here are the examples; the choice of the speedy Liam's Map to race in the Breeder's Cup Mile the day before. Yes, this older more seasoned runner at the top of his game would have given American Pharoah a target to chase and just may have made him work more going the mile and quarter. The mare; Beholder who has a similar racing style to American Pharoah, would have added to the mix if she didn't declare from the race a few days before. These two major defections from this race, gave the green light for American Pharoah to do his thing without any competition.

And we know, the rest is history and the fairytale ending is completed. But, I truly believe that if things were different in both races and the competition engaged Pharaoh like he was in the Travers, this great horse possibly would not be dubbed the "greatest" horse in our lifetime. Only speculation on my part and I've taken a lot of heat for my stance. American Pharoah came along at the right time and was the right horse. His talents showed that on the track. But we as handicappers and students of the sport, tend to analysis things more. We do it with horses that win races. American Pharaoh is no different in my opinion. While I agree that he changed the sport in 2015, it would have been interesting if his two biggest races of his career, which altered history, were more like his Travers race and he had to work for that victory. That we'll never know!

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