RACHEL ALEXANDRA (#13) Borel / Asmussen 9-5
The super three year old filly turned heads with a 20 plus length victory in the Kentucky Oaks, now she races for new connections and takes on the boys, draws almost impossible post…..but, won with devastating ease in her last start without being asked, gotta go with her in this spot spite her odds.
MUSKET MAN (#3) Coa / Ryan 10-1
The one I feared the most in the Derby and did not use, ran his usual good race parked wide in the stretch drive while forced out, gotta think he’ll fire his best shot again and at good odds.
MINE THAT BIRD (#2) Smith / Woolley 9-2
Very hard to leave this impressive Kentucky Derby winner out of the top three, Got his track and excellent ride in the Derby, race sets up for him again…..would be no surprise to make it two in a row.
TAKE THE POINTS (#11) Prado / Pletcher 30-1
Decided to skip the Derby by his connections after two good efforts on the Santa Anita “pro-ride” surface, looks to be forwardly placed in the running of this race, a longshot that may be overlooked.
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FRIESAN FIRE (#5) Saez / Jones 10-1
Didn’t fire at all as the lukewarm favorite in the Derby with horrible trip, could be a “throw out” under the circumstances he endured, maybe has a Louis Quartorze like turn around effort in his cards.
PAPA CLEM (#7) Bejarano / Stute 8-1
Ran a bang-up race in the Derby….one that I expected, that effort may have taken something out of him, toyed with using him in my top three….but back-off late.
PIONEER OF THE NILE (#9) Gomez / Baffert 5-1
Second best in the Derby and looked like a “drunken sailor” late in the stretch, a definite “throwout” for me in this spot, a lot of races this spring and could be tailing off, he wins…..he beats me!
BIG DRAMA (#1) Velazquez / Fawkes 10-1
Speedy sort recently won the seven furlong Swale Stakes at Gulfstream Park only to be d.q’d late for drifting out, should be gunning from the inside post and will take them as far as he can, the distance is a major question with him.
GENERAL QUARTERS (#8) Leparoux / McCarty 20-1
No factor in the Derby and had an eventful trip to Pimlico on Tuesday afternoon when his horse trailer was involved in a minor accident, may bounce back from that non-effort two weeks ago…..but thinking otherwise.
TERRAIN (#6) Rose / Stall 30-1
Winless since first two career victories last summer, had little impact in either of his races this spring, no huge form reversal here!
TONE IT DOWN (#12) Desormeaux / Komlo 50-1
Weakened for third in the Federico Tesio Stakes which is a prep race over the track for today, may press RA a bit from the inside early on.
LUV GOV (#4) Theriot / Lukas 50-1
Just broke maiden on tenth try last time out, hard to recommend at any price.
FLYING PRIVATE (#10) Garcia / Lukas 50-1
One thing I had right in the Derby was where this runner ended up…..can I be two for two with that prediction???
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