Friday, August 23, 2013

Mark Hoffman's 2013 graded Travers Stakes selections

War Dancer (#7) Garcia / McPeek (15-1)

Some would say that this is a tough spot to ask a horse to do something he hasn't done before in his career; break his maiden on dirt in a grade I event, but the entry of this son of War Front fascinates me in this spot. He has proved that he can get the mile & quarter distance, but the main track is the question. I couldn't separate the three classy betting interests, so I'm taking a leap of faith with this longshot!

Orb (#2) Rosario / McGaughey (4-1)

The Kentucky Derby hero has been training well since his no factor 3rd place finish in the Belmont Stakes, has a series of bullet works both here and at Fair Hill and his short freshening coming off a tough Triple Crown trail will be to his benefit today, improvement expected.

Verrazano (#3) Velazquez / Pletcher (2-1)

This talented three year old has been rock solid all year but in one start (Kentucky Derby) , his last race in the Haskell Stakes was a monster effort and best yet (116 Beyer speed figure) today he tries once again to get the "classic" mile and a quarter distance, definitely the "horse to beat" and moves to the top of the three year old class with a victory today.

Palace Malice (#8) Smith / Pletcher (5-2)

Winner of both the Belmont Stakes and Jim Dandy Stakes has stepped it up after a sub par effort in the Kentucky Derby flashing early speed, proven he handle this distance and track, if he wins this race today, he becomes the top three year old runner in the nation, a must use here!

Transparent (#9) I. Ortiz / McLaughlin (10-1)

Had a nice victory in the restricted Curlin Stakes over the track earlier in the meet.....but was disqualified to 5th place due to interference on the far turn while making his move, may get lost in the wagering here and is dangerous off that last effort, price play here!

Will Take Charge (#5) Saez / Lukas (10-1)

Improved effort in last start finishing full of run in the Jim Dandy Stakes with late close for 2nd at 17-1, with Oxbow out for the year...... this is Lukas' only chance in the Mid Summer's Derby, the question is can he repeat that effort in grade I company & stretching out to this distance?

Romansh (#1) Castellano / McLaughlin (12-1)

Placed 1st in the Curlin Stakes after stablemate was D.Q. with wide rally after stumbling at the break, impressive effort first time versus winners, he is uncoupled today & will be a big price today!

Moreno (#6) J. Oritz / Guillot (12-1)

Pace setter in the Jim Dandy Stakes faded to third late, will be the target to chase and is very questionable going this distance, pass on him in your exotics.

Golden Soul (#4) Albarado / Stewart (20-1)

His only claim to fame is a "suck-up" 2nd place finish in the Kentucky Derby on the sloppy sealed surface, this plodder was no factor in the Belmont Stakes or Haskell Stakes, EASY toss for me here!

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