Saturday, May 21, 2011

Mark Hoffman's 2011 graded Preakness selections


Dialed In (#10) Leparoux / Zito (9/2)

The "lukewarm" Kentucky Derby favorite rallied late after lagging behind early in the derby, hopefully closer to the pace today in a race where he'll be eligible for a 5 million dollar bonus with a victory, this race traditionally bodes well for Kentucky Derby "also-rans" and especially failed favorites in that race.

Astrology (#1) Smith / Asmussen (15-1)

Recent runner-up in the one mile Jerome Handicap at Aqueduct, this son of AP Indy has been one of my favorites since he debut at Saratoga last summer, he skipped the Kentucky Derby for this spot and makes his third start off a layoff, I went on record a few weeks ago and stated that this horse would win the Travers this summer, today he is a major player as the "new" face in the race.

Animal Kingdom (#11) Velazquez / Motion (2-1)

The upset winner of the Kentucky Derby proved that first time "real" dirt doesn't mean a thing with this colt, ran a professional and trouble-free race, a duplication of that effort could send him to N.Y. with Triple Crown aspirations, if you caught him at 20-1 you were lucky and won't see those odds again!

Midnight Interlude (#7) Garcia / Baffert (15-1)

My top selection in the Kentucky Derby was a bust with his effort two weeks ago, racing somewhat greenly and was no factor disappointing me greatly, wheels right back off that non-effort and hopefully improves this time out, I'm thinking a "Hansel" like improvement twenty years later.

Mucho Man Man (#9) Maragh / Ritvo (6-1)

Ran an even race in the Kentucky Derby to gain the 3rd spot late, this hard hitter should enjoy the Pimlico surface and always runs his race, once again.....a must use in ALL your exotic plays!

Sway Away (#6) Gomez / Bonde (15-1)

Missed the Derby on earnings and would have gotten into the race if there was an also-eligible list, had an interesting trip in the Arkansas Derby after having the lead in the stretch and then tiring late, his sire; Afleet Alex was very courageous in winning this race six years ago, longshot chance here.

Dance City (#8) Dominguez / Pletcher (12-1)

Comes out of the Arkansas Derby also with an even effort pressing the pace throughout, adds speed to the mix which this race has a lot of, Pletcher at a price!

Shackleford (#5) Castanon / Romans (12-1)

The longshot pace setter in the Kentucky Derby hit his "wall" in deep stretch, I sure he'll be sent again and will get company this time on the front end, I'll pass on him again!

Flashpoint (#4) Cornelio Velasquez / Ward (20-1)

Races today under new trainer and hasn't started since the Florida Derby where he was rated into submission first time going two-turns, has the look of a sprinter and his trainer does better at those conditions, would be a surprise here.

Mr. Commons (#14) Espinoza / Shirreffs (20-1)

Race evenly in his last start on the west coast in the Santa Anita Derby, draws the impossible far outside post here at Pimlico, another one questionable at this distance.

Concealed Identity (#13) Russell / Gaudet (30-1)

The locally based "house horse", won the prep race for this event last time out, is two for two over the track, but is all or nothing in eight starts with four wins and no runner-up finishes.

King Congie (#3) Albarado / Albertrani (20-1)

Another pure turf / polytrack runner with his two "real" dirt races horrible, nice story how this horse was named......that's all I can recommend about this runner.

Norman Asbjornson (#2) Pimental / Grove (30-1)

Longshot bomber was respectable in both N.Y. Kentucky Derby preps (Gotham & Wood) but the waters get REAL deep in this race, a good friend of mine likes his chances.....I'll take his wager!

Isn't He Perfect (#12) Prado / Shivmangal (30-1)

Has been no factor in his three stakes efforts.......same result today also!

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