Saturday, May 17, 2014

Mark Hoffman's 2014 graded Preakness selections



California Chrome (#3) Espinoza / Sherman (3-5)
winner of the Kentucky Derby was much the best with the trip he needed as the favorite last time out, head and shoulders the best 3 yr.old runner in the country comes back in two weeks versus possibly lesser foes than he met in the Derby, tough to take him at "odds-on" but can only see him getting beat if he is a tired horse, I think he gets the job done once again.

Kid Cruz (#7) Pimental / Rice (20-1)
the "new shooter" and most intriguing runner in this race, came from the back of the pack in both local preps here in Maryland, this closer from Linda Rice I was high on going into the Wood Memorial until he had a minor issue, he'll be flying late & with his price is the logical horse to use underneath the "chalk".

Ride On Curlin (#10) Rosario / Gowan (10-1)
had a nightmare bad ride from Calvin Borel in the Derby that got the grand tour of the Churchill strip, never had a chance in the race and gets a new better pilot in the irons today, he'll be closer to the action more forwardly placed.

General A Rod (#2) Castellano / Maker (15-1)
no factor in the Derby after rough trip, also gets a new pilot in the irons today, along with Ride on Curlin are the only two horses that California Chrome faced two weeks ago, may say something about this current group of sophomore horses.

Dynamic Impact (#1) Mena / Casse (12-1)
won the Illinois Derby making first start off maiden breaker with a good speed figure at Hawthorne Park, wore down rival beating him by a whisker at the wire, faces tougher today but has a good stalking style.

Bayern (#5) Napravink / Baffert (10-1)
was D.Q. in last start at Churchill Downs in the Derby Trial going a mile while drifting out badly in the stretch after needless right handed whipping by Rosie, adds speed to the mix, but I question if he wants this added distance to run.

Social Inclusion (#8) Contreras / Azpurua (5-1)
didn't have enough points to get into the starting gate two weeks ago at Churchill Downs, this speed ball hasn't raced since his tiring 3rd place in the Wood Memorial the beginning of April, may dictate the pace and is the short price runner who I'll be leaving out today.

Ring Weekend (#4) Garcia / Motion (20-1)
came down with a fever just before the Derby and missed the race, chased Our Caravan last time out in the Calder Derby (that runner showed nothing in the Peter Pan Stakes last Saturday at Belmont Park) , looks like a grade II or III runner at best.

Pablo Del Monte (#9) Sanchez / Ward (20-1)
got into the Derby field after late defections but chose not to run because of post position, his two dirt races were average and looks like he'll just add more pace to the race, easy throw out here.

Ria Antonia (#6) Borel / Amoss (30-1)
no factor in the Kentucky Oaks, gets third trainer change since the beginning of the year, jockey switch doesn't help her chances either, question why she is even running in this spot, bad move.





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