Sidney's Candy (#20) Talamo / Sadler (5-1)
The speedy Santa Anita Derby winner makes his first attempt on a "real" dirt racing surface, a gate to wire winner in all his stake races over Santa Anita's "pro-ride" surface, today he draws the far outside post and may have to "rate" off of a likely fast pace, a lukewarm pick at a short price.....but, STILL have faith in him!
Ice Box (#2) Lezcano / Zito (10-1)
The upset winner of the Florida Derby at 20-1 odds.....this "stone cold" closer comes off a six week layoff for today's race, this son of my 1997 Derby pick (Pulpit) and grandson of the great AP Indy has distance turf breeding from this dam (Spice Island), he has the breeding to get the derby distance, looking to get a better price than his morning line odds.....but then again; he is a Nick Zito trainee!
Super Saver (#4) Borel / Pletcher (15-1)
I've been a fan of this runner since he broke his maiden last Fall on a sloppy sealed Belmont track going a mile, gets third start off the layoff and should attend the pace within striking distance, get's the new "king" of Chuchill Downs in the irons.
Mission Impazible (#14) Maragh / Pletcher (20-1)
Improving winner of the Louisiana Derby five weeks ago, this gray son of Unbridled's Song (my 1996 selection) seems to be rounding to form and has been working well at Churchill Downs, needs to step up class-wise.....but is a live longshot.
Devil May Care (#11) Velazquez / Pletcher (10-1)
A last minute entry to this race from the Oaks, this filly has been put in place of the ill fated Eskendereya as the barn's top Derby prospect, besides Sidney's Candy.....she's is the only other triple digit Beyer runner, has a shot versus this group of runners.
Lookin At Lucky (#1) Gomez / Baffert (3-1)
Last year's Juvenile champion had the ultimate nightmare trip last time out in the Santa Anita Derby when he was shut off along the rail, recovered well to gain third and today draws the "killer" inside - one post , game as they come.....but has a lot to overcome today with the addition of "blinkers on".
Awesome Act (#16) Leparoux / Noseda (10-1)
This European turf runner return to the states this year with a impressive victory in the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct, next start in the Wood Memorial weakened late after a wide trip, may have suffered the "Euro-bounce" in last start and could be a player today.
Jackson Bend (#13) Smith / Zito (15-1)
This popular Florida based runner gets into the field after the late defections, no worst than 2nd in nine lifetime starts.....he gets Mike Smith in the irons for the first time, consistent is his game..... but will he get the distance?
Noble's Promise (#3) Martinez / McPeek (12-1)
No factor as the favorite last time out in the Arkansas Derby.....he was questionable a few days ago to make this race, good work in the mud and gets reunited with a classy jockey, distance a question.
Dublin (#17) Thompson / Lukas (12-1)
Last summer's Hopeful Stakes winner has had three even efforts at Oaklawn as preps this year, a son of a dual triple crown race winner (Afleet Alex) and nice filly sprinter (Classy Mirage) I really question if he wants to run the mile & a quarter distance, the Metropolitan Mile on Memorial Day at Belmont Park would be a better fit in my opinion.
Stately Victor (#6) Garcia / Maker (30-1)
Upset winner of the Blue Grass Stakes at 40-1 last time out on the polytrack, has got the breeding to get the distance.....but, no factor in his two dirt route races, bullet work in the slop for today.
Paddy O'Prado (#10) Desormeaux / Romans (20-1)
Right behind Stately Victor in the Blue Grass, debut was his only dirt start in the slop and was no factor, like many others had a bullet work on the sloppy Churchill surface this week, too many questions.
American Lion (#7) Flores / Harty (30-1)
Wired grade III foes in the Illinois Derby at Hawthorne Park, adds more speed to the mix and questionable to go the distance.
Conveyance (#12) Garcia / Baffert (12-1)
Another front runner who has been the favorite in all five lifetime starts, he won't be the betting choice today!
Discreetly Mine (#15) Castellano / Pletcher (30-1)
Well bred Robsham runner weakened as the lukewarm favorite in the Louisiana Derby, a nice colt that deserves a better spot to run than here!
Line of David (#5) Bejarano / Sadler (30-1)
The wire to wire winner of the Arkansas Derby, he's regarded by some to be the fastest horse to get the lead today, may play the part of the "rabbit" here for his stablemate Sidney's Candy.......just saying!
Homeboykris (#19) Dominguez / Dutrow (50-1)
Only raced a route distance once and was no factor, see NO reason he should even be in this race.
Dean's Kitten (#8) Albarado / Maker (50-1)
Won the Lane's End Stakes on the polytrack at Turfway Park.....enough said!
Backtalk (#18) Mena / Amoss (50-1)
Last minute entry to the race, two route tries horrible, this horse is a sprinter......pass!
Make Music for Me (#9) Rosario / Barba (50-1)
Another one late to the dance, was going to race on the grass Friday here, shows only maiden win.....toss!
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