Friday, August 27, 2010
Mark Hoffman’s 2010 graded Travers Stakes selections
Ice Box (#6) Leparoux / Zito (10-1)
This game is all about second chances…..right? and when there is an opportunity for that 2nd chance plus it could be at a “square” price, I’m jumping back on the bandwagon. The electric closing kick that this horse had in the Kentucky Derby was eye catching, while his Belmont Stakes & Haskell efforts look a little “flat”…..all things today point for a good set up with his late closing style. Gets a jockey switch to the premier upcoming star of the future in Julian Leparoux, today Ice Box gets one more shot with me!
Fly Down (#8) Lezcano / Zito (8-1)
Had a rather even / no factor effort in the Jim Dandy Stakes while incurring some trouble as the lukewarm favorite, another Zito runner that tends to have in & out efforts, the race scenario may also set up well for him, sticking with my Belmont Stakes exacta play one more time!
Afleet Express (#7) Castellano / Jerkens (6-1)
Made up some ground late in the stretch last time out in the Jim Dandy Stakes, I think this son of Afleet Alex can move forward off that effort more than the first two finishers in that race.
First Dude (#4) Dominguez / Romans (8-1)
Has been the leader of the pack when it comes to setting the pace in his last three starts in grade I company, gets blinkers on today to sharpen his focus and possibly get his first victory going two turns, he’ll have plenty of company on the front end today!
Trappe Shot (#2) Garcia / McLaughlin (4-1)
Quite possibly the “now” horse of this group, has run two good route races at Monmouth Park and looks to be on the upswing, at 4-1 or better…..he’s a good win bet, anything less…..I’ll pass!
A Little Warm (#5) Velazquez / Dutrow (7-2)
The “lukewarm” morning line favorite for this race isn’t getting much “love” from me, his Jim Dandy victory over pace setter Miner’s Reserve was a “merry-go-around” effort of sorts going one/ two around the track, today; the same scenario seems highly unlikely!
Super Saver (#11) Borel / Pletcher (6-1)
Unfortunately too, I don’t have much “love” for this year’s Kentucky Derby winner here in this spot also, the “stars & planets” were aligned the first Saturday in May for his victory, but…..the ONLY chance he would have today is if there was a monsoon on Saturday afternoon.
Miner’s Reserve (#1) Cohen / Zito (12-1)
Led the way in the Jim Dandy Stakes weakening late, gets plenty of company today on the front end, may set up for his stablemate nicely.
Admiral Alex (#3) Desormeaux / Blusiewicz (12-1)
Just broke maiden in debut here going the route; a mile & an eighth distance, highly ambitious spot for second lifetime start……ya think?
Friend or Foe (#9) Maragh / Kimmel (15-1)
Even effort first time two turns in the Jim Dandy, would have been better placed in the Albany Stakes for statebred three year olds this past Wednesday.
Afleet Again (#10) C. Velasquez / Reid (30-1)
Rank outsider longshot is a step below the company he faces today.
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