Friday, August 22, 2008

2008 Travers Stakes - graded selections & plays

Harlem Rocker (4-1) Coa / Pletcher

Only blemish on record was his Plate Trial effort on the polytrack over the Woodbine surface; once considered for the Preakness, he was regarded by some as the only real threat to Big Brown for top 3yr.old honors at year end.

Mambo in Seattle (5-1) Albarado / Howard

Game victory in overnight restricted stake at the Jim Dandy distance the race before the “traditional” prep race; bred to run all day, he could be this year’s Grasshopper in this race.

Colonel John (8-1) Gomez / Harty

My 2008 Kentucky Derby pick returned after disappointing effort in that race to weakened for 3rd in the four horse field Swaps Stakes at Hollywood Park; his only “real” dirt try was in the Derby, but wouldn’t ship all the way from California if he wasn’t truly pointing to this race.

Pyro (7-2) Bridgmohan / Asmussen

Rallied on the “good” surface in the Jim Dandy Stakes only to “hang” a bit at the finish, type of horse that needs everything to go his way for victory, at a short price; tough to pick him on top, but an exotic must!

Cool Coal Man (15-1) J. Velazquez / Zito

No factor 3rd behind Big Brown in the Haskell last time out, got a feeling that this Zito runner will be firing a big shot today in this race, Johnny V. in the irons can only help.

Macho Again (6-1) Leparoux / Stewart

Got up in the final jump to win the prep for this race; the Jim Dandy, honest three year old performer, comes into this race with 2nd best Beyer fig.

Court Vision (12-1) Desormeaux / Mott

Without Big Brown, IEAH Stables only hope for Travers gold; raced last two on the Colonial Downs turf, returns to the dirt and is facing the same horses he couldn’t defeat before.

Tale of Ekati (20-1) Prado / Tagg

Disappointed again with even effort in the Jim Dandy, class relief is what this three year old colt needs….or a switch to grass.

Da’ Tara (8-1) Garcia / Zito

Guess his last start in the Jim Dandy proved his Belmont Stakes WAS a fluke; Tizbig who is right outside of him will make him run again, not a good thing.

Tres Borrachos (15-1) Baze / Greeley

Recent winner of the Swaps Stakes at Hollywood Park beating three other foes; west coast runner was beaten a ton when faced this type of competition in the Preakness Stakes, would be a huge surprise here.

Tizbig (30-1) C.Velasquez / Jerkens

“Wheels” back on very short notice (ran in 3rd race on Sunday) speedy sort will keep the Belmont Stakes winner occupied, but won’t be anywhere around at the finish…. even for the “Giant Killer”.

Amped (30-1) Chavez / Zito

Distant 3rd in restricted race last time out; no early foot and will be passing tired horses late at best.
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THE "PLAYS"

#6 to win & the #2 and #5 (if 4-1 or better)

8-9 ex. bx.

"Dime" superfecta
8/9 with 8/9 with 2/5/6/11 with 1/2/5/6/7/11

"Dime" superfecta boxed
5/6/8/9/11

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